Trending Causes of Death

Not all causes of death are moving in the same direction. Some are rising as populations age and lifestyles change. Others are falling as medicine, sanitation, and public health improve.

5

Causes rising

23.2M deaths/yr

11

Causes falling

41.9M deaths/yr

6

Causes stable

Why some causes rise while others fall

The global pattern of death is shifting. Infectious diseases that once dominated — pneumonia, diarrhoea, tuberculosis, HIV — are in decline, thanks to vaccines, antibiotics, clean water, and antiretroviral therapy. Child mortality has halved since 2000. Maternal deaths are falling. Even cardiovascular disease, the world's biggest killer, is slowly declining in rate.

But as fewer people die young, more live long enough to develop the diseases of ageing. Cancer, dementia, and diabetes are all rising — not because they are becoming more common per person, but because more people are reaching the ages where these conditions appear. The global population is getting older, and older populations die of different things.

Lifestyle factors add a second layer. Rising obesity rates are fuelling diabetes. The opioid crisis is driving drug overdose deaths. And hunger — one of the oldest killers — is rising again due to conflict, climate change, and food price inflation.